Microsimulation

The themes of the research team concern the use of microsimulation to evaluate Universal Basic Income’s likely effects, in comparison to ‘status quo’ base scenarios as well as basic income ‘cognates’ and alternative policy reform proposals (such as in-work benefits, targeted social assistance, or other types of universal transfer). The main effects fall into the categories of fiscal costs and implications, distributional effects, and effects on financial labour market incentives, although there may be further applications of microsimulation techniques that fall outside this categorisation.

The aims of the research group are:

1. To develop and refine microsimulation techniques with respect to their application to basic income research, through expansion into more advanced areas such as:

  • Dynamic models of behavioural (labour market) response and lifecourse trajectories
  • Modelling implications for intra-household inequalities, by relaxing assumptions about income sharing within household
  • Modelling schemes organised at alternative levels (sub- and supra-national) of political organisation.

2. To carry out substantive studies on specific basic income proposals, such as the Euro-dividend, or other specific national or sub-national schemes. In particular, to scrutinise the detailed proposals of political parties and civil society / advocacy organisations groups, where these are available.   Project outputs would include ‘standard’ static analysis of fiscal, distributional and labour market effects, but would also extend to the more advanced / innovative areas mentioned above.

3. To provide a bank of technical expertise and resources (methodological literature). The aim would be to produce basic analysis of specific schemes on commission, for example in response to queries from policy makers, media, and other interested parties, as well as to facilitate the research community to carry out their own microsimulation studies. In this regard, one key role of the group would be to connect with other FRIBIS research groups.

Activity:

 

 

 

Research Team

Professor Ugo Colombino
PhD London School of Economics 1985, Professor Emeritus of Economics at the Department of Economics Cognetti De Martiis of the University of Torino and Research Fellow at the IZA.
He is a member of CHILD – Centre for Household, Income, Labor and Demographic economics, has published several contributions in the areas of incentives and income taxation, income support mechanisms, empirical optimal taxation, labor supply, preferences for environmental and cultural goods, demand for telecommunication services.

Dr. Valerija Korošec
Ph.D. in Sociology, University of Maribor, 2000; MESPA, 1994.
Undersecretary at the Institute of Macroeconomic Analyses and Development, Government of Slovenia, Social Policy Division, since 2001.
An author of Slovenian UBI proposal (2010) and numerous articles on Universal Basic Income.
A representative of Slovenia in BIEN, and founding member of UBIE, Universal Basic Income Europe.

Dr. Aida Garcia-Lazaro
PhD in Economics, University of York, 2019. 
Macroeconomist and research associate at the Institute for Policy Research, University of Bath
Currently conducting research for the project The Economics of the Basic Income. Key areas of interest: monetary and macroprudential policies, inequality, labour market, migration and basic income. Prior to her PhD studies, Aida Garcia-Lazaro worked for the Mexican government and the United Nations in consultancy studies for two years.

Professor Nick Pearce
FAcSS, HFRIBA
Professor and Director of the Institute for Policy Research, University of Bath. Formerly Head of the No10 Downing Street Policy Unit and the IPPR think-tank.
Principal Investigator on a number of research projects on Universal Basic Income.
Subject Editor, Science, Policy and Society, Royal Society Open Science

Professor Matteo Richiardi
Professor and Director of the Centre for Microsimulation and Policy Analysis, University of Essex.
A labour economist specialising in microsimulation and agent-based modelling techniques. Main areas of interests: inequality, worker insecurity, labour force participation, and wage dynamics.  
Board member of the International Microsimulation Association and Chief Editor of the International Journal of Microsimulation. 

Dr. Malcolm Torry
Visiting Fellow, Institute for Policy Research, University of Bath, and General Manager of Basic Income Earth Network (BIEN). Formerly a visiting senior fellow at the London School of Economics and Director of the Citizen’s Basic Income Trust.  Author of numerous books and articles on Universal Basic Income.

Dr. Stephen Nuñez
Lead Researcher at the Jain Family Institute. Author and contributor of more than 16 publications and papers, specializing on statistical analysis. Advisor and member of Creatives Rebuild New York, Guaranteed Income Pilot Subcommittee and  The Old Fourth Ward Economic Security Task Force. Organizer and former member of Newark Guaranteed Income Task Force.  
 

Jack Landry
Research Associate at the Jain Family Institute. Author of several microsimulation analyses of the expanded child tax credit. Formerly a research professional at the University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy.

Eric Ke Qiao

Dr. Eric Qiao 
Research Assosiate at the Institute for Policy Research, University of Bath. Specializes in applied microeconomics and public policy, with a focus on labour economics, especially labour supply, education and fiscal policy evaluation. Author of the essay series on labour supply in the UK.

FRIBIS Team Coordinator

Alexandra Pilyus
studied Economics with a major in Information Systems and Network Economics at the University of Freiburg, pursues further degrees in Interface Design and Computer Science. She is a coordinator of the team “Microsimulation”, keeps building up the team “UBI Russia” and is a BIEN volunteer. Her research is about implementation of UBI in Russia. In her projects Alexandra uses laboratory experiments (zTree, Python) and is currently learning microsimulation methods. She lives in Karlsruhe area.

Contact: alexandra.pilyus@fribis.uni-freiburg.de

Transfer Team

Jamie Cooke
Head of RSA Scotland. Jamie Cooke leads on the development of the RSA’s activity in Scotland, through innovative partnerships, projects and programmes of activity. Particular areas of interest include basic income, inclusive growth, the role of cities and Scotland’s relationship with the rest of the world.

Cleo Goodman
Co-Founder of the Basic Income Conversation, an organisation dedicated to increasing and improving the debate around basic income in the UK. Cleo leads the Basic Income Conversation’s activities through their Research Network, work with civil society and political engagement. Her background is in the Scottish third sector and she is particularly interested in exploring community led and locally funded basic income models and demonstrations.